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Erickson: AFC & NFC Championship DFS Primer

Jan 16, 2021; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) and wide receiver Davante Adams (17) against the Los Angeles Rams during the NFC Divisional Round at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Following up the AFC & NFC Championship DFS locks and fades, it's time to take a deep dive into both of Sunday's matchups from a DFS perspective. As usual, I’ll call out my favorite DFS plays and game stacks. Stacking has been a tried-and-true approach to winning tournaments — if the right stack hits, then it’s an instant print fest.

I’ll also highlight key injury notes that could prove to be potential game-changers. Get AMPED for Championship Sunday! Two future H.O.F. quarterbacks in Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers are going head to head with two young gunslingers in Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes launching moon shots in the late afternoon — what could be better? 

[Editor's note: Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app and use promo code PFF when you sign up to turn $1 into $100 if any QB scores a rushing or receiving touchdown this weekend! Click here to play at DraftKings Sportsbook.]

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

Aaron Rodgers has lost only twice at home in the playoffs. That hardly ensures that the Green Bay Packers will come away with a victory Sunday, but as three-point favorites it’s hard to avoid giving the slight nod to Rodgers as the go-to quarterback in DFS over Tom Brady.

As I discussed in the DFS locks piece, the matchup caters more toward Rodgers having the higher ceiling than it does for TB12. Tampa Bay is such a pass-funnel defense that Green Bay will have to throw to win the game, while the Buccaneers’ path to victory could feature more of a balanced run/pass attack.  

The Packers sneakily produced a coverage unit that allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to QBs during the regular season. 

Their pass defense has been elite on early downs, allowing just 5.9 yards per pass attempt (second-best) since Week 12. They rank 23rd in yards per rushing attempt (4.7) allowed. 

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