It's been a bumpy road, but we're finally just a couple of short weeks away from the 2020 NFL season. As such, it's long past time to get ready for our redraft fantasy leagues.
Now, I'm not one of our fantasy analysts. My involvement in fantasy football is purely to produce PFF's projections (alongside my colleague Kevin Cole and others) and to let PFF Fantasy's team of experts do the talking. However, I do have my opinions on who and what to buy into, and I participate in what is likely an embarrassing number of best ball drafts during a normal year, let alone a year with a global pandemic.
In this article, I want to go over some players who I have liked relative to their ADP and explain my reasons for doing so. We will use Underdog Fantasy's ADP as of Aug. 8, as this appears to be the best reflection of the true value of fantasy players right now.
I like Matthew Stafford (110.7 ADP) over Carson Wentz (100.6) and Matt Ryan (93.5)
We've been pretty pro-Lions this offseason, as the data is pretty definitive with respect to the Lions offense when Stafford was healthy. The Detroit signal-caller was first in the league in average depth of target and second in percentage of dropbacks that resulted in a positive grade. Stafford's grade from a clean pocket was also second in the league, and no quarterback generated more big-time throws on a per-dropback basis.
There are certainly reasons for positive regression for Wentz and Ryan, but both of their cases involve young players emerging. Stafford, with Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. in the stable, requires less in the way of projection. He is my pick here.