Winning a DFS tournament while competing in a field of 100,000 entrants is an outrageous task. The best way to tilt the odds in your favor is to play into the chaos of the NFL week. Profit disproportionately when things don’t go as planned.

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Here are three ways to build that kind of leverage into your lineups for Week 5.

Buy low on these touchdown-regression candidates

Ezekiel Elliott leads all running backs in expected rushing touchdowns at 5.33. He’s only found the end zone three times on the year so he also leads all backs in expected touchdown differential (2.33). The Cowboys are favored by 9.5 points at home and have an implied total of 31.75 points. Elliott will always garner a considerable amount of ownership, but he does act as leverage off of his teammates, who will also be popular plays.

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