This article is long, so I’ll spare you a lengthy intro. Here’s everything need to know for fantasy football in order to dominate your Week 10 DFS tournaments and cash games
Note: This article is published Friday mornings, so it can fall behind some of the more important late-week updates regarding injuries. Be sure to keep an eye on news throughout the weekend, and to apply some of your own intuition on who to play.
Note 2: This week is tough — it’s what we would call an MME-week (rather than a single-entry week). Last week the top plays were glaring and without much competition. This week, there’s a lot of value at each position. Few names stand head and shoulder above their position-based peers.
(Winston DK: QB3, FD: QB6; Murray DK: QB6, FD: QB8)
Winston has been a lot better and more predictable than most fantasy players seem to realize. Against defenses that rank top-five in schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game, Winston is averaging just 13.5 fantasy points per game. Across his other (five) games, he’s averaging 23.2, which would rank fourth-most among quarterbacks. This week, he gets an Arizona defense that falls far short of ranking top-five. In fact, they rank second-worst in schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game, and dead-last in both pressure rate (28%) and opposing passer rating (118.4).
The only defense that ranks worse than the Cardinals in schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game? That would be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In the (projected) fastest-paced game of the week, with the highest over/under of the slate, and a close spread (-4.5) implying shootout potential, Winston and Murray are rightfully two of the top options.
(DK: QB4, FD: QB3)
Over the past three seasons, Brees ranks fourth in fantasy points per dropback (0.54). Since 2011, he averages a league-high 24.2 fantasy points per game at home. He’s at home this week, and against an Atlanta Falcons defense that ranks worst in fantasy points allowed per dropback (0.70), and second-worst in opposing passer rating (117.3). New Orleans also has the highest implied point total of the slate (32.0), and by a good margin (+3.75), but given the spread (-12.5), Brees might not be forced to keep his foot on the gas, and the majority of these points may go to the running backs.