News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

The top DFS bargains for Wild Card weekend

ORCHARD PARK, NY - SEPTEMBER 24: Tyrod Taylor #5 of the Buffalo Bills throws the ball to his teammate Charles Clay #85 of the Buffalo Bills during an NFL game against the Denver Broncos on September 24, 2017 at New Era Field in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images)

The NFL playoffs are here, and the Wild Card round brings major change to the DFS landscape. With so many fewer teams in action, there are fewer bargain-bin deals to take advantage of. In the NFL playoffs, DFS comes down to exploiting individual matchup and utilizing game theory to your advantage. Today, we will focus on delivering you the best bargains on the Wild Card slate while factoring in their prices, matchups, and also the probability that they will be owned. A bargain during the NFL playoffs can come from low-ownership players just as easily as low-priced players.

Tyrod Taylor, QB, Buffalo Bills

We start with a game theory play. Taylor is the cheapest quarterback on the slate and he has far and away the worst matchup. The Jaguars allowed the fewest fantasy points against opposing QBs this season. However, the Jaguars also allowed the seventh-most rushing yards by opposing QBs. Taylor is a bargain play with a low ceiling but a high floor given his rushing upside and the projected game flow as the Bills are nearly double-digit underdogs and should rack up some garbage time points late in this game.

Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

Brees is a bargain in the top tier of quarterbacks, but on a short slate, he is still expensive overall. However, Brees also offers the best opportunity of that top tier to breakout at home and in this specific matchup. The Panthers pass defense softened down the stretch run due to their issues at cornerback and in the secondary. Brees completed 73.5 percent of his passes and threw for 269 passing yards a few weeks ago at home against the Panthers with one touchdown. He is due for some touchdown regression and this is a great week for it.

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Monkey Knife Fight. Official Fantasy Sponsor of PFF. Join to receive a free EDGE subscription.

Fantasy Featured Tools

  • Sort projected player stats and fantasy points by position, week, and category.

    Available with

  • Research past fantasy performance with sortable player stats including PFF-exclusives like aDOT and fantasy points per opportunity.

    Available with

  • Available with

  • PFF’s Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position.

    Available with

  • Create winning NFL Daily Fantasy Sports with PFF’s DFS Lineup Optimizer. Set custom exposures and team stacks to optimize lineups effectively before exporting and uploading the unique lineups to DraftKings, FanDuel or Yahoo DFS.

    Available with

Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr