The NFL playoffs are here, and the Wild Card round brings major change to the DFS landscape. With so many fewer teams in action, there are fewer bargain-bin deals to take advantage of. In the NFL playoffs, DFS comes down to exploiting individual matchup and utilizing game theory to your advantage. Today, we will focus on delivering you the best bargains on the Wild Card slate while factoring in their prices, matchups, and also the probability that they will be owned. A bargain during the NFL playoffs can come from low-ownership players just as easily as low-priced players.
We start with a game theory play. Taylor is the cheapest quarterback on the slate and he has far and away the worst matchup. The Jaguars allowed the fewest fantasy points against opposing QBs this season. However, the Jaguars also allowed the seventh-most rushing yards by opposing QBs. Taylor is a bargain play with a low ceiling but a high floor given his rushing upside and the projected game flow as the Bills are nearly double-digit underdogs and should rack up some garbage time points late in this game.
Brees is a bargain in the top tier of quarterbacks, but on a short slate, he is still expensive overall. However, Brees also offers the best opportunity of that top tier to breakout at home and in this specific matchup. The Panthers pass defense softened down the stretch run due to their issues at cornerback and in the secondary. Brees completed 73.5 percent of his passes and threw for 269 passing yards a few weeks ago at home against the Panthers with one touchdown. He is due for some touchdown regression and this is a great week for it.