(This is PFF Fantasy’s Bold Predictions Week. All week long, members of the fantasy staff will be making their biggest predictions for the season to come, with various approaches.)
After an interminable offseason of exhaustive player evaluation and Twitter debates resulting in straw-man body counts numbering in the tens of thousands, a few lighthearted end-of-camp bold fantasy football predictions can be cathartic.
The key to a good bold prediction is it needs a modicum of reality. Anyone can say Corey Grant is the Jaguars’ best running back, and he will lead them in fantasy points. Heck, I’ve even said the first part – but, sadly, the necessary touches to give Grant a shot at the second part aren’t in his cards. Not yet, anyway.
A quality bold prediction can also be instructive, in addition to prompting outside-the-box thinking or providing simple entertainment (emphasis on “simple”). If a seemingly unlikely event even comes close to fruition, there invariably is something actionable we can take from it.
In the end, we want reasonable bold predictions, and not “taeks” so flaming hot they ignite these piles of dead straw-men.
Lamar Miller will finish as a fantasy RB1
Currently selected at his probable floor (RB22, fifth round), no running back drafted outside of the top-12 has Miller’s workload expectation. With D’Onta Foreman likely to spend the first six games on the PUP list, and Alfred Blue the definition of “pedestrian backup,” Miller is staring at a true three-down role in an offense that’s finished 12th, fifth, first, and eighth in total plays during the Bill O’Brien era.