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Fantasy Football: Best and worst DFS targets in Week 12

Indianapolis Colts cornerback Isaiah Rodgers (34) works to bring down New York Jets wide receiver Elijah Moore (8) on Thursday, Nov. 4, 2021, during a game against the New York Jets at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

Week 12 of the NFL DFS slate offers a strong play in New York Jets star receiver Elijah Moore, who offers tournament-winning upside against a subpar Houston Texans secondary this week.

Let’s dive into the best and worst Week 12 DFS plays at every position, based on matchup, opportunity, salary and roster projections.

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Quarterback

Best: Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,500

Nothing has come easy for Wilson since returning from his finger injury. The Seahawks quarterback has scored fewer than 10 fantasy points in both of his past two contests, and that streak even extends to before his injury in Week 5.

Most DFS players will be hesitant to target a player coming off a three-game cold streak. However, Wilson will make for a great contrarian option in a plus matchup against a Washington Football Team defense that ranks 25th league-wide in passing yards allowed, 31st in passing touchdowns allowed and 30th in expected points added (EPA) allowed per play this season. Washington has also been beaten for the fourth-most rushing yards among defenses this year.

Seattle’s season is hanging on a thread and needs a lifeline. Wilson and his team have every reason to enter this game in desperation mode, giving them even more incentive to play well.

PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals betting opportunities (“edges”) within game bet and player prop markets. The higher the edge, the greater the opportunity.
Worst: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

DK: $6,900 | FD: $7,900

It’s never easy to list Rodgers as a fade, but this week doesn’t seem like a great opportunity to pay full salary for his services.

The longtime Packers quarterback is coming off a stellar performance that resulted in 33.5 fantasy points and a QB2 finish, but the Packers are going to be without two star offensive linemen in David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins.

Rodgers could be in for a long day against a Los Angeles Rams defense that leads the NFL in sacks with 36 and ranks fourth in pressure percentage at 36.8%. The Rams are  PFF’s highest-graded defense this season.

Expect a half-decent performance from Rodgers, but there’s a good chance it mirrors his 10-to-15-point performances from Weeks 8 and 10 and not his elite performance this past week.

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