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2022 Fantasy Football Prep: Coaching Changes

Houston, TX, USA; Indianapolis Colts defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus against the Houston Texans during the AFC Wild Card at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

In preparation for the 2022 fantasy football season, it is essential to understand the evolving coaching landscape. This tracker provides an overview of the historical tendencies for all of the new faces and potential player impact. As rosters take shape through free agency and the 2022 NFL Draft, we can revisit these data points to gain further clarity on how teams might deploy players next season.

This article will be updated weekly. The historical tendency analysis will populate once teams have head coaching and offensive coordinator roles filled.

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CAROLINA PANTHERS

Offensive Coordinator (OC) – Ben McAdoo: quarterbacks coach, Jaguars (2020); head coach, Giants (2016-2017); offensive coordinator, Giants (2014-2015)

After a four-year hiatus from play-calling, McAdoo gets his second opportunity to serve as an offensive coordinator. In his tenure with New York, the Giants averaged the ninth-most regulation plays per game (64.7), and they were near the league averages in pass splits.

Giants pass rates by game script vs. the NFL average (2014-2017)

  • Trailing by four or more: 71% (+0%)
  • Within three points: 60% (+0%)
  • Leading by four or more: 52% (+1%)

McAdoo's scheme mostly revolved around Eli Manning working through progressions from the pocket, which could be problematic given the Panthers' current quarterback situation. Carolina needs to create some easy opportunities for their signal-caller by confusing the defense and getting the ball to the playmakers in space. Unfortunately, we haven't seen much play-action, motion or trick looks in McAdoo's bag.

Giants play-calling tendencies vs. the NFL average (2014 – 2017)
Run % Pass % RPO % PA % Boot % Deep % Motion % Trick Look% Play Clock Remaining
Base Plays 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.02 -0.01 0.83
All -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.01 1.15
Short Yardage -0.06 0.06 -0.01 -0.13 -0.06 -0.01 0.01 -0.02 1.19
Red Zone -0.04 0.05 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.01 -0.03 -0.02 0.97
Goal Line -0.01 0.01 -0.03 -0.10 -0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 0.54
Third Down 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.03 -0.01 1.34

Despite their balanced run-to-pass splits, the Giants utilized the most 11 personnel in the NFL during McAdoo's tenure. Next season, this could easily be the case with D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson and Terrace Marshall Jr. on the roster. In 2021, the Panthers used 11 on 66% of plays.

Giants personnel tendencies vs. the NFL average (2014 – 2017)

  • 10 Personnel: 1% (-1%)
  • 11 Personnel: 76% (+19%)
  • 12 Personnel: 12% (-8%)
  • 21 Personnel: 5% (-4%)

Early Convictions:

  • Strong: More of 11 personnel looks, given McAdoo's track record and the Panthers current makeup.
  • Moderate: Marshall has an opportunity to see significantly more playing time.
  • Weak: D.J. Moore feasts like Odell Beckham Jr. as the primary target in McAdoo's attack (weak due to QB issues).

CHICAGO BEARS

Head Coach (HC) – Matt Eberflus: defensive coordinator, Colts (2018-2021)

OC – Luke Getsy: quarterbacks coach and passing game coordinator, Packers (2019-2021)

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