Betting News & Analysis

College Football Week 4: Top Player Prop Bets

Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders receiver Jerand Bradley (9) catches the ball during the first half against the North Carolina State Wolfpack at Carter-Finley Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

BET Texas Tech WR Jerand Bradley Over 42.5 rec. yards vs. Texas (-115 PointsBet): Team-high 27 targets through three games to go with 14.2 aDOT.

BET Oregon QB Bo Nix Under 232.5 pass yards at Wash State (-112 Barstool): Cougars ‘D' ranks 22nd via PFF; Nix plus-70 grade past 2 games, but only cleared this number once.

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Estimated reading time: 3 mins


Using PFF’s college fantasy projections, below are the best player prop bets to make for the Saturday main slate in Week 4:

Texas Tech WR Jerand Bradley Over 42.5 Receiving Yards vs. Texas (-115 DraftKings) 

· Bradley saw 27 targets in the first three games and led the WR unit at Texas Tech in targets every game this season. His 14.2 aDot highlights some downfield targets, but he’s also been able to generate yards after the catch when he gets catchable balls thrown his way. In a potential shootout and the Red Raiders gunning to keep it close, expect Bradley to see a number of targets and easily clear this receiving-yardage number. 

Texas WR Xavier Worthy Over 67.5 Receiving Yards at Texas Tech (-115 DraftKings) 

· A pending shootout in this rivalry matchup on Saturday, and it’s possible we see Quinn Ewers back in action. All of this bodes well for Worthy’s chances to eclipse a relatively modest receiving projection. 

Washington State RB Nakia Watson Over 48.5 Rushing Yards vs. Oregon (-114 DraftKings)

· Watson hit double-digit carries in his first two games of the season, before dropping down to eight in Week 3, despite a yards per carry average of 9.3. He has been forcing missed tackles at a 39% clip — one of the best marks so far in college football. Watson is a dynamic playmaker with the ball in his hands who should easily get over this relatively low total again on Saturday. He’s cleared this number in two of three games this season, with his one shortcoming against one of the best run defenses in the FBS.

Clemson WR Will Shipley Under 86.5 Rushing Yards at Wake Forest (-112 Barstool)

· Shipley’s seen a steady number of rush attempts through the first three games, hitting 10, 10 and 12, respectively. He’s relied heavily on explosive runs (9 so far on the season), but Shipley needed solid blocking up front with 46.6% of his yards coming before contact. He’s only had one game going over this prop number and doesn’t seem to get enough volume to get there without breaking off a huge run. Against Wake Forest, things could prove difficult: The Deacons sit barely outside the top 25 in PFF’s opponent-adjusted run defense grade. Their coverage unit is even better, making this game project as a low-scoring defensive struggle. In that scenario, Shipley won’t come close to touching this lofty number. 

Oregon QB Bo Nix Oregon Under 232.5 Passing Yards at Washington State (-112 Barstool)

Nix found his rhythm after the Georgia game, posting two straight games with a PFF passing grade above 70. He’s still only cleared this prop number in one of those two contests and now faces off against a coverage unit that ranks 22nd in the country by PFF grade. Never one to outperform a high-quality defense, expect Nix to struggle and fall well short of this number. 

 

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