PFF Bets of the Week: NFL Week 8

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Week 8 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

The tool delivers real-time projections, matchup data, hit rates and the best available odds — all in one place. It’s the same level of insight trusted by all 32 NFL teams, now at your fingertips.

Here are our analysts' favorite bets for Week 8. These picks have gone 18-22-2 this year.

Trevor Sikkema (3-4)

RB Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers: Under 14.5 rushing attempts (+104 FanDuel)

Warren has gone under this total in three of his five games this season. With fellow running back Kenneth Gainwell remaining a key part of the Steelers’ backfield rotation — and with a potential game script that could lead to more passing if Pittsburgh falls behind against a top-10 scoring team — the under on rushing attempts for Warren appears to hold value.

Dalton Wasserman (5-2)

RB Isiah Pacheco, Kansas City Chiefs: Under 52.5 rushing yards (-110 BetMGM)

Pacheco has fallen short of this mark in six of Kansas City’s first seven games. The lone exception came last week, when he recorded 57 rushing yards in the Chiefs’ blowout win over the Raiders. Brashard Smith continues to see increased involvement in the offense, further reducing Pacheco’s opportunities. Washington also ranks among the top eight teams in run-defense grade, suggesting Kansas City may look to attack the Commanders through the air.

Ben Linsey (6-1)

RB Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers: Under 56.5 rushing yards (-114 FanDuel)

Warren is coming off a 127-yard performance against Cincinnati, but he has gone under this number in every other game this season and will continue to share backfield duties with Kenneth Gainwell. The Packers rank among the top 10 defenses in the NFL in average yards allowed per rushing play.

Green Bay should be able to put up points against a Pittsburgh defense that ranks 32nd in offensive success rate allowed when excluding two games in which its pass rush dominated short-handed offensive lines (Minnesota and Cleveland). That likely will push the Steelers toward a more pass-heavy approach, and with Aaron Rodgers facing his former team for the first time, there’s added motivation to air it out.

Mason Cameron (1-5-1)

TE Jake Ferguson, Dallas Cowboys: Over 38.5 receiving yards (-110 BetMGM)

Even with CeeDee Lamb back in the mix, Jake Ferguson remains a high-value target in the Cowboys’ offense. He was targeted on 23.3% of his routes this past week — the highest rate on the team among players with at least five routes. The Cowboys’ tight end could again see a significant target share this week against Denver’s blitz looks, as he ranks ninth in target rate among tight ends when facing the blitz. The Broncos struggled to contain Giants tight ends last week, allowing 154 yards, which could set up another productive outing for Ferguson.

Max Chadwick (3-4)

QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens: Over 4.5 rushing attempts (-182 FanDuel)

The two-time MVP appears on track to return this week against the Bears after missing the past two games with a hamstring injury. While the injury could limit Jackson’s mobility, the over on his rushing attempts remains a viable play. He has averaged seven rushing attempts per game in his past 10 starts. A similarly talented dual-threat quarterback, Jayden Daniels, ran 10 times for 52 yards against Chicago in Week 6. With the Bears ranking seventh in team coverage grade, Jackson may once again need to make plays with his legs.

Gordon McGuinness (0-6-1)

RB Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens: Anytime TD (-195 DraftKings)

The Ravens are expected to have Lamar Jackson back in the lineup this week, which should give their offense a boost. Despite Baltimore’s offensive struggles, Derrick Henry is still averaging 5.0 yards per carry and should see enough volume to create multiple touchdown opportunities in this matchup.