Premium Content Sign Up

NFL Betting: Top mismatches to bet in Super Bowl 57

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) is tackled by San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) during the second quarter in the NFC Championship game at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

  • Targeting Jalen Hurts in multiple props: Hurts has some clear advantages and disadvantages to consider this weekend.
  • Boston Scott needs some love: The Philadelphia Eagles’ advantage in the trenches should help push a low rushing total over the edge.
  • Fading JuJu Smith-Schuster: Minimal involvement in the Kansas City Chiefs’ offense and the Eagles’ top-tier corners puts the unders in play.
Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

The Super Bowl brings plenty of betting options but finding the right ones to target in a game that has been analyzed more than any other is no easy task. Utilizing PFF data and player grades can help bettors find the few remaining edges heading into the biggest game of the year.

Bet: Jalen Hurts under 238.5 passing yards (1.90 on BETMGM)

Hurts comes into the Super Bowl after throwing for 275 yards through his two playoff games and less than 230 yards in four of his past five games. The Eagles are averaging 30.5 passing attempts per game on the year, which ranks 24th, and have landed below that rate through the last three games (28.0).

The Chiefs' coverage abilities present a mismatch, as Kansas City owns a 74.4 coverage grade as a team during this year’s playoffs, which ranks fourth, while the Eagles' entire passing offense owns a 64.7 grade, which ranks seventh during the playoffs. The Eagles passing offense is not overly reliant on hitting big passes either, with just 112 attempts on the year of 15 or more yards (17th).


Bet: Quez Watkins under 1.5 receptions made (-175 on DraftKings)

DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32

Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades

Already have a subscription? Log In

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit