• Bet Panthers-Bengals u42.5: After looking lost without Ja'Marr Chase last week, expect a slow-packCincinnati to get Joe Mixon more involved against Panthers
• BetMGM pre-registration is now open to all Ohio residents. All they have to do is sign up today to enjoy $200 in free bets (no deposit required)! Click here to sign up!
• Bet Ohio State to win the National Championship: Co-favorites currently with Georgia at +200, C.J. Stroud leads the nation's No. 1 scoring offense, while a much-improved Buckeyes defense allows fewer than 17 points per game.
Last updated: Nov. 4, 10:50 a.m.
Estimated reading time: 3 mins
Bet: Carolina Panthers @ Cincinnati Bengals — Under 42.5 total points (-110)
• The Bengals looked completely lost without JaMarr Chase in Week 8 against the Cleveland Browns: Cincinnati was held to 229 total yards and shut out until the 4th quarter. On top of that, the Bengals only mustered up 36 yards on the ground.
• Mixon game: Expect the Bengals to make it a point to get Joe Mixon more involved this week, as Carolina ranks in the bottom 10 in defending the run.
• Cincinnati should focus on controlling the pace of this game: The Bengals are the 10th-slowest team in the NFL in terms of pace of play and are the 3rd-best on converting 3rd down conversions. Long, time-consuming drives are what we are hoping for.
Teaser Bet: Bengals to -1.5 (from -7.5) / New Orleans Saints to +8.5 (from +2.5) vs Baltimore Ravens (-130)
• Panthers put up 34 points and 478 total yards last week: But keep in mind Atlanta ranks 31st in defensive EPA/play, defensive Success Rate, and opponents' yards per game. Only the Detroit Lions rank worse in those three categories.
• Bengals are No. 1 in defensive Success Rate: Last week against the Cleveland Browns was the first time they allowed a touchdown in the 2nd half this season.
• The Ravens rank 6th in offensive EPA/Play and Success Rate: A tad better than what the Saints saw in their Week 8 shutout of the Las Vegas Raiders. But the key for this matchup is the health of the Ravens' offensive playmakers. Rashod Bateman is out for a few weeks with a foot injury. Mark Andrews is battling a shoulder injury. RB Gus Edwards could be questionable with a hamstring injury.
• Saints stout vs TEs: Even if Jackson's top target, Andrews, plays, the Saints are among the best teams against opposing tight ends. New Orleans has allowed the 2nd-lowest catch rate and 4th-lowest receiving yards to tight ends, who have yet to score a touchdown on the Saints — one of only three such remaining teams.
Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers — Under 5.5 Wins (-120)
• The Steelers' win total was set at 7 wins with -125 odds to the over in preseason: Now, BetMGM has a total of 5.5 wins with -120 odds to the under. Even with two wins under their belt, the Steelers aren't receiving a lot of faith from the market, nor should they in an obvious rebuilding mode.
• Pittsburgh's offense has been atrocious: ranked 31st in EPA/Play, 26th in Success Rate, and dead-last in points per game (15).
Bet Ohio State to win the National Championship (+200)
Ohio State is arguably the best team in the nation right now. BetMGM has Ohio State and Georgia co-favorites at +200 to win this year's National Championship.
• Offensively, OSU has been one of the nation's best in 2022: Ryan Day and the Buckeyes have the No. 1 scoring offense, averaging 48.9 points per game, and rank 4th in yards per game (509.5).
• The most significant improvement for this Buckeyes team is their defense: After ranking 31st in the country last season in surrendering 22.8 points per game, they're 8th-best this season (16.9).
• Outside of their annual rivalry game with No. 4 Michigan: The Buckeyes' schedule is relatively soft the rest of the way. Luckily for OSU, the Wolverines this year come to the “Horseshoe.”
Bet Navy @ Cincinnati o44.5 (-110 BetMGM)
• The past three times these conference rivals met, the total went over 44.5 points.
• We all know Navy leans heavily on its option rushing attack: In 2022, it leads the nation in rushing attempts per game (61) and are tied for 6th in rushing yards per game ( 244.5). Despite opposing defenses knowing the run is coming, it is still tough to stop consistently.
• The Midshipmen rushed for 192 yards last year against a Bearcats defense that ranked 10th in total defense: After losing six defensive starters, the Bearcats rank 26th in total defense and 60th against the run. I'd expect a similar outcome to last season, with the total again going over 44.5 points.