The player props' “unders” hit 55% of the time between the 2017 and 2019 regular seasons, though 2020 has not seen that trend continue, with just 51.7% of props going under.
One way to consistently find defined edges is by utilizing PFF's player props tool. The ability to adjust both number and price means you are always confident of the expected value for each prop bet.
My written plays were underwhelming on Sunday, going 1-3 despite our prop tool finishing with a positive week. Deshaun Watson’s called-back TD to Will Fuller V would have pushed us into the black again, but luck can be a fickle thing.
This brings my year-to-date written prop record to 27-15 for +10 units. We have a couple more weeks of the sweet spot for player props now that we have some idea of player usage, with those situations not fully baked into prop numbers yet. Let’s take a quick look at what the betting market is implying for our doubleheader on Monday Night Football before diving into some of the best player props, according to our tool.