Utilizing our player props tool has been beneficial to sports bettors' bankrolls to start the 2020 season, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet.
Written picks have also done well, going 53-33 as we head into the main Sunday slate of Week 10. This record is based on grading against the closing line number. One-unit wagers have profited 8.15 units to start the season when minus-priced props are set to win one unit and plus-money props risk one unit.
The mean total for Week 10 is slightly lower than last week, with the weekend's slate ringing in as the seventh-highest mean for a week since 2010. The lull in scoring disappeared quickly as the season progressed, but we still haven’t gotten back to Week 4-7 numbers on totals. This is partly because unders have still hit at a rate of 55% against closing numbers, excluding pushes from the calculation. Outside of situations where usage isn’t fully understood or game script doesn’t warrant a significant adjustment to prop numbers, we should still be targeting unders. There are also situations where it's not fully known how players returning from injury factor into their respective teams, making these valuable opportunities to target.
Let’s dive into the best player props to make as we head into the main slate of Week 10. If you would like to hear a full discussion of all player props for this Sunday’s slate, make sure to listen to the PFF Daily Betting podcast.
Harrison Bryant over 13.5 receiving yards