Utilizing our player props tool has been beneficial to sports bettors' bankrolls to start the 2020 season, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet.
Written picks have also done well, going 57-36 as we head into the main Sunday slate of Week 11. This record is based on grading against the closing line number. One-unit wagers have profited 17.1 units to start the season when minus-priced props are set to win one unit and plus-money props risk one unit.
Totals are up slightly for Week 11, but no particularly high or low totals exist. All games sit in a tight range, with no real weather concerns to speak of.
Week 10 saw a higher percentage of game totals go under, which is a continuing trend toward lower scoring. Player props went the same general direction, with 58.2% of all props going under.
Outside of situations where usage isn’t fully understood or game script doesn’t warrant a significant adjustment to prop numbers, we should still be targeting those unders. There are also situations where it's not entirely known how players returning from injury factor into their respective teams, making these valuable opportunities to target.
Let’s dive into the best player props to make as we head into the main slate of Week 11. If you would like to hear a full discussion of all player props for this Sunday’s slate, make sure to listen to the PFF Daily Betting podcast.
Cam Newton over 1.5 passing TDs