News & Analysis

Favorite NFL futures bets ahead of Week 7

Oct 18, 2020; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) celebrates as he scores on a 37-yard touchdown run against the Philadelphia Eagles during the third quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Welp, our futures bet last week was looking good… until the Dallas Cowboys actually had to play a game against the Arizona Cardinals. They are still the favorite to win the division both in our eyes (57%) and in the betting market (see below, all lines from FanDuel sportsbook).  

Of the futures we’ve placed below, some still have value, which are in parentheses.  As for Week 7, we’re going to back one of the league’s best teams at a relatively low point in their market, with some tough games ahead for its opponents in Week 7 and beyond. 

AFTER WEEK 1

Kansas City to win the Super Bowl: +550 after Week 1, now +390 (+426)

Seattle to win the NFC West and Super Bowl: +190 and +1400 after Week 1, now -210 (-300) and +800 (+614)

Green Bay to win the Super Bowl: +2600 after Week 1, now +1200 (+1150)

Tennessee to win the AFC South: +125 after Week 1, now -280 (-567)

AFTER WEEK 2

Green Bay to win the NFC North: -140 after Week 2, now -220 (-186)

Philadelphia to miss the playoffs: -170 after Week 2, now -188 (-270)

Cardinals to make the playoffs: +104 after Week 2, now +106 (+100)

AFTER WEEK 3

Tampa Bay to win the NFC South: +100 after Week 3, now +105 (-122)

New England to win the AFC East: +125 after Week 3, now +210 (+300)

AFTER WEEK 4

Cleveland to make the playoffs: -182 after Week 4, now -184 (-186)

AFTER WEEK 5

Dallas -125 to win the NFC East: -125 after Week 5, now -105 (-133)

AFTER WEEK 6

Baltimore -165 to win the AFC North

The pickings are slim this week for new bets, but there is a value here on John Harbaugh, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, who we make -177 to win the AFC North for the third straight year.  Pittsburgh, their main competition for the division, has the 11th-toughest schedule the rest of the way, while the Ravens have the ninth-easiest. While Jackson has struggled in the passing game and, until last week, laid off a bit in the running game, the Steelers are dealing with a number of injuries right now, and face off against the Titans this week.  If they lose as two-point favorites on the road, this number will likely be a bit higher next week following Baltimore’s bye week.  

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