Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. As the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to these single-game opportunities.
Leverage PFF's predictive betting models and player props tools to identify the best betting opportunities in the Week 9 Monday Night Football contest between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears.
Click here for more PFF tools:
Rankings & Projections | WR/CB Matchup Chart | NFL & NCAA Betting Dashboards | NFL Player Props tool | NFL & NCAA Power Rankings
PLAYER PROPS
One of the easiest transitions into sports betting is through player props, as fantasy applications help evaluate betting opportunities.
One way to consistently find defined edges is by utilizing PFF's player props tool, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet. Let’s dive into the best player props to bet for Monday Night Football.
TE COLE KMET: Under 2.5 receptions (+111)
Fading Kmet has as much to do with the sophomore tight end's track record as it does with quarterback Justin Fields’ struggles and the Pittsburgh Steelers’ stout defense.
Fields has managed a putrid 76.5 passer rating when targeting Kmet this season, which is lower than his marks when targeting Jesse James and Jesper Horsted.
| Name | Tgt. | Rec. | Yds. | TD | Rtg. |
| Jesse James | 6 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 146.5 |
| Khalil Herbert | 10 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 85.0 |
| Damien Williams | 7 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 84.2 |
| Cole Kmet | 28 | 17 | 155 | 0 | 75.7 |
| David Montgomery | 5 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 73.8 |
| Darnell Mooney | 41 | 24 | 349 | 1 | 64.0 |
| Allen Robinson II | 34 | 20 | 226 | 0 | 42.0 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 15 | 7 | 79 | 0 | 35.1 |
As for this specific matchup, the Steelers rank 15th in coverage grade against tight ends this season, and they are 10th in the same metric since Week 4, making this a tough matchup for a tight end of Kmet’s caliber. The Bears tight end's 60.7 receiving grade ranks 50th among players at the position this season, and he’s only covered this number in four of eight games.
DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32
Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades
Already have a subscription? Log In
© 2024 PFF - all rights reserved.