NFL News & Analysis

NFL Week 7 Analytical Quarterback Rankings: Tua Tagovailoa reclaims the top spot

2RYJN29 Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) warms up prior to an NFL football game against the Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Oct. 1, 2023, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)

Jared Goff was the most efficient QB in Week 6: Goff was the most efficient passer last week, completing 68.2% of his passes for 353 yards and two touchdowns, good for a 74.6 passing grade that ranked sixth at the position.

Tua Tagovailoa back with a bang: Tua finished second in passing grade (94.1) and EPA per play (1.2) on passes thrown 10 or more yards downfield. He completed 63.6% of these passes for 173 yards and two touchdowns.

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Quarterback is the most important position on the field, but we can often get stuck in their most recent blunders or successes, making it difficult to come up with an objective ranking.

This analysis utilizes a statistical technique called Bayesian Updating. With Bayesian Updating, we can use individual results to project PFF grades and expected points added (EPA) per play. You can find a more detailed explanation of the analysis in our Week 2 quarterback rankings.

Here is how the league's quarterbacks stack up after Week 6.

2023 Week 7 Analytical Quarterback Rankings

Most efficient passer: Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

Jared Goff was the most efficient passer last week, completing 68.2% of his passes for 353 yards and two touchdowns, good for a 74.6 passing grade that ranked sixth at the position. He generated the most expected points added (EPA) per play (0.45) among quarterbacks in Week 6.

Most explosive passer: Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Tua finished second in passing grade (94.1) and EPA per play (1.2) on passes thrown 10 or more yards downfield. He completed 63.6% of these passes for 173 yards and two touchdowns.

Best under pressure: Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

Stafford was the highest-graded passer under pressure this week (91.8), and he finished second only to Tagovailoa in EPA per play (0.452) on pressured dropbacks. The Rams QB went 5-of-7 for a position-best 124 yards on his pressured dropbacks, and while he did take three sacks, he was still able to complete 71.4% of his passes and average 17.7 yards per pass attempt.

Best out of the pocket: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak completed 71.4% of his passes out of the pocket for 101 yards, the best mark at the position. He was second in both EPA per play (0.71) and passing grade (77.9) when out of the pocket this week.

Quick passes: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts earned an 89.2 grade on throws that took less than 2.5 seconds in Week 6, and he finished fifth at the position in EPA per play (0.38) on these plays. He completed 80% of these passes for 185 yards and one touchdown.

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