IDP Stock Market looks at IDP players that are being overvalued and undervalued based on our advanced NFL statistics. If you’re looking for the sell-high or buy-low IDP candidates for your fantasy roster, this is the article for you.
Buy:
Terrence McGee – CB – Buffalo Bills
Injured on his first snap in week 1, Terrence McGee finally returned to the Bills starting line-up on Sunday. Recording 11 solo tackles and grading +3.5 was certainly a promising sign that McGee can be a valueable IDP contributor and he should be considered a top 15 CB from here on out. Looking at the the 9 year veteran’s career, he has consitently broken the 60 solo tackle barrier over 16 games, so if he isn’t rostered in your league go ahead and pick him up immediately.
Jason Babin – DE – Philadelphia Eagles
Jason Babin has been playing to a high standard so far in 2011 with 7 sacks and a +10.9 pass-rushing grade (=7th for all DEs), but it is his hidden stats that make him a riser this week. Babin leads all 4-3 DEs with 7 QB hits which is a very encouraging sign for him to continue if not improve his sack total through the second half of the season. Boosting this projection further is the return to the Eagles front four of pass-rushing phenom, Trent Cole. Cole had posted 3 sacks through the first four games and was playing at a very high level (+19.4 overall) and will undoubtedly command serious attention from the opposing offensive line meaning Babin will see more 1-on-1 match-ups over the coming weeks.
Hold:
D.J Williams – LB – Denver Broncos
D.J Williams returned to the Broncos defense in week 4 after a dislocating his elbow in August and has resumed his productive fantasy performances from the past few years. A true tackle machine, even when playing at OLB, Williams recorded more than 119 total tackles in 3 of the past 4 years, the exception being an injury shortened season. Averaging 10.5 points per game in the PFF IDP scoring system over his 3 games this year Williams has accumulated 19 total tackles and 2 sacks. He is a top-end LB2 going forwards with low-end LB1 upside assuming he can increase his tackle numbers to his previous levels.
Sell:
Michael Huff – S – Oakland Raiders
A breakout year in 2010 saw Michael Huff record 72 total tackles and finally fulfil his lofty draft status, but his start to the 2011 season has not been at the same level. Projected to be a DB2, Huff has only charted 19 total tackles through 6 games. One of the main reasons for his reduced tackles numbers is that he is dropping into coverage on 56.3% of his plays compared to 51.1% last season. This change in his role in the Raiders defense is affecting his opportunities to make plays as he has only recorded a tackle on 5.7% of snaps, compared to 7.1% in 2010. Huff owners should downgrade him to a bye week fill-in only until we see his production improve.
Questions and comments are welcome – @PFF_RossMiles
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