NFL Draft News & Analysis

LIVE 2023 NFL Mock Draft: Sam Monson and Steve Palazzolo mock the first two rounds, sending Will Levis to the Houston Texans at No. 2 overall

Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Will Levis (7) passes the ball during the third quarter against the Georgia Bulldogs at Kroger Field. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to draft week.

In a little over three days, the 2023 NFL Draft will finally get underway, and 259 draft prospects will hear their names called as the league's teams pick their hopeful stars of the future.

The PFF NFL Show will be live all week in the lead-up to Thursday's first round, and our draft show will be live for all three days of the event, giving you all the analysis you need to know about all 259 draft picks.

To start the week with a bang, Sam Monson and Steve Palazzolo mock the first two rounds, sending Alabama's Bryce Young to the Carolina Panthers at No. 1 overall and Kentucky's Will Levis to the Houston Texans at No. 2.

ROUND 1

1. Carolina Panthers (via CHI): QB Bryce Young, Alabama

An offensive coordinator will have to do some things to scheme around Young's height, but it's a small price to pay for everything else he brings to the table.

2. Houston TexansQB Will Levis, Kentucky

Levis' tape has so much to like from a tools and NFL-readiness standpoint, but his accuracy — or lack thereof — is borderline untenable at this point.

3. Arizona CardinalsEDGE Tyree Wilson, Texas Tech 

No edge prospect manhandled offensive tackles more than Wilson last year. That's a defensive lineman who can play for any scheme.

4. Indianapolis Colts: QB C.J. STROUD, OHIO STATE

Stroud put a stamp on his college tenure in a big way with the second-highest-graded game of his career against Georgia in the College Football Playoff. He has the accuracy and anticipation to thrive in the NFL.

5. Seattle Seahawks (via DEN): EDGE Will Anderson Jr., Alabama

Elite production and elite tools. That's an easy combination to draft highly.

6. Detroit Lions (via LAR): CB Devon Witherspoon, Illinois

Witherspoon may not have an elite physical skill set for the position, but his senior year tape was as good as we've seen in our nine years of college grading.

7. Las Vegas Raiders: CB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon

Gonzalez is the total package physically. He's got all-pro tools but just needs a little refinement to get there.

8. Atlanta FalconsRB Bijan Robinson, Texas

Robinson is about as well-rounded a back as you'll see in the draft. He's one of the highest-floor players in the class.

9. Chicago Bears (via CAR): DI Jalen Carter, Georgia

Carter is as good a DT prospect as we've seen since we started grading college in 2014. A complete prospect.

10. Philadelphia Eagles (via NO): OT Peter Skoronski, Northwestern

Skoronski has the highest floor of any offensive lineman in the draft class. It may just come at guard, though.

11. Tennessee TitansQB Anthony Richardson, Florida

High-end play wins Super Bowls, and no one has a higher end in this class than Richardson. Now, what are the chances he reaches that or even comes close?

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12. Houston Texans (via CLV): WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ohio State

If you don't have a well-defined slot role in your offense, JSN isn't worth a first-rounder. If you do, he should be your WR1.

13. New York Jets: OT Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State

You can expect some growing pains early on due to Johnson's limited experience, but that's the nature of the tackle position. If he's dedicated to his craft, he'll be a stud.

14. New England PatriotsCB Deonte Banks, Maryland

Banks has all the physical traits of an All-Pro cornerback. He just needs to be more consistent with his technique.

15. Green Back PackersEDGE Nolan Smith, Georgia

Smith is unique in so many ways with a lot of projectable NFL traits. He'll likely be a more productive pass-rusher in the NFL than he was at Georgia.

16. Washington CommandersOT Broderick Jones, Georgia

Another year of seasoning could have made Jones a top-five pick. He still may end up close to that range with his dominant physical skill set.

17: Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Joey Porter Jr., Penn State

Porter is a high football IQ cornerback with the kind of size and physicality everyone is looking for. If he was a slightly better athlete, he'd be a top-10 pick.

18. Detroit LionsDI Calijah Kancey, Pittsburgh

He may have to start off as a designated pass-rusher, but he can truly excel in that role. There's little doubt he's going to impact QBs at the next level.

19. Tampa Bay BuccaneersEDGE Myles Murphy, Clemson

Murphy is too freaky to pass up. The 6-foot-5, 275-pounder is this year's version of Travon Walker. Murphy could stand to add some pass-rushing moves, but he still racked up 76 pressures over the past two seasons.

20. Seattle SeahawksTE Dalton Kincaid, Utah

You'd like him to be a little bigger to make defenses respect him as a blocker, but he's the best receiving tight end in the class.

21. Los Angeles ChargersWR Quentin Johnston, TCU

Johnston is a force of nature at 6-foot-4, 215 pounds. He is your vertical route tree X receiver in this class. For his college career, Johnston averaged 18.8 yards per reception.

22. Baltimore Ravens: EDGE Lukas Van Ness, Iowa

Van Ness has one of the weirder prospect profiles in the draft class, but it's one I'm willing to bet on.

23. Minnesota VikingsWR Jordan Addison, USC

Addison has one of the higher floors among receivers in the draft class due to his blend of route-running chops and all-around athleticism.

24. Jacksonville JaguarsDB Brian Branch, Alabama

Branch is a very high-floor defender with a skill set that can fit into every defense in the NFL.

25. New York Giants: WR ZAY FLOWERS, BOSTON COLLEGE

Flowers is the best pure separator in the draft class. Defensive backs won't be able to stick with him across on his route breaks unless they're holding him. He racked up 1,077 yards and 12 scores this past season.

26. Dallas Cowboys: TE Michael Mayer, Notre Dame

Mayer is one of the highest-floor players in the draft. You know you're getting a complete, productive tight end at the next level. However, can he separate enough to be a true difference-maker?

27. Buffalo Bills: T DARNELL WRIGHT, TENNESSEE

Wright is a four-year starter who finally saw the proverbial light flip on this past fall. His tape against Alabama's Will Anderson Jr. was outstanding, as he allowed only one pressure in that game and eight for the season.

28. Cincinnati BengalsOT Dawand Jones, Ohio State

He has to be put in a certain role, but he could dominate in that role. If you have a mobile quarterback, this is the guy you want at right tackle.

29. New Orleans Saints: EDGE WILL MCDONALD, IOWA STATE

McDonald will be one of the more interesting defensive line prospects in the class because his tape is almost all at a position that he won't play in the NFL. He was frequently a four- or five-technique in Iowa State's defense at 236 pounds. McDonald is at his best in space off the edge, where he can be a speed rusher. He earned an 84.1 pass-rushing grade in 2022 and an 85.3 mark in 2021.

30. Philadelphia EaglesDI Bryan Bresee, Clemson

Bresee is a bit more of a project than you'd like at the top of the draft, but he wasn't put in much of a position to succeed in Clemson's scheme. His physical skill set is special.

31. Kansas City ChiefsOT Anton Harrison, Oklahoma

Harrison could have really upped his draft stock with another year in a college weight room. He may have to be “redshirted” out the gate, but I'd bet money on him being a plus pass protector in time.

ROUND 2

32. Pittsburgh Steelers: DI MAZI SMITH, MICHIGAN

Smith is a special athlete for a 337-pound nose tackle and could very well see a Dontari Poe-esque rise up draft boards after the combine. He turned it on strong down the stretch in 2022, as well, and earned a 79.2 overall grade on the season.

33. Houston TexansCB Emmanuel Forbes, Mississippi State

Forbes has some boom-or-bust aspects to his game but has the kind of athletic traits that can make up for misreads.

34. Arizona Cardinals: C JOHN MICHAEL SCHMITZ, MINNESOTA

Schmitz was the single highest-graded center in the FBS this past season at 92.4 overall. He's on the bigger side for the position at 6-foot-4 and 320 pounds yet did his best work on the move in an outside-zone-heavy Minnesota scheme.

35. Indianapolis Colts: WR JOSH DOWNS, NORTH CAROLINA

Downs is a slot weapon that you can feed schemed-up targets to and watch go to work. He racked up 195 catches for 2,364 yards and 19 scores across the past two years. The only problem is that he's probably never going to be much more than a slot at his size (5-foot-10, 175 pounds), with only 81 routes on the outside in his career.

36. Los Angeles RamsEDGE Felix-Anudike-Uzomah, Kansas State

Anudike-Uzomah has really easy tape to project to the next level. He's one of the higher-floor pass rushers in the class.

37. Seattle Seahawks: CB JULIUS BRENTS, KANSAS STATE

Brents has a massive wingspan that engulfs receivers at the line of scrimmage. He also brings some legit burst for a taller cornerback, which he turned into four picks and three pass breakups in 2022.

38. Las Vegas RaidersG O’Cyrus Torrence, Florida

Torrence is a plug-and-play guard who's best suited for gap schemes, but I wouldn't pigeonhole him by any means.

39. Carolina Panthers: WR JONATHAN MINGO, OLE MISS

Mingo's 6-foot-1, 220-pound frame is almost running back-like. That's unique in this class. He showed serious improvement as a route runner this past fall with a career-high 51 catches for 861 yards.

40. New Orleans Saints: TE DARNELL WASHINGTON, GEORGIA

Washington is a unique 6-foot-7, 270-pound tight end. His height and weight don't do justice to just how massive he is. If your offense wants an offensive tackle who can also run routes and make guys miss after the catch, Washington is your man.

41. Tennessee Titans: C LUKE WYPLER, OHIO STATE

Wypler may be on the small side, but he's as advanced a redshirt sophomore offensive lineman as you'll see. He's likely a center only, and a darn good one, after earning overall grades of 82.4 and 79.6 in his two seasons as a starter.

42. Green Bay Packers (via CLV): TE SAM LAPORTA, IOWA

LaPorta is outstanding with the ball in his hands. He can not only run away from defenders (4.59-second 40-yard dash), but he can also make them miss (20 broken tackles on 58 catches in 2022).

43. New York Jets: ADETOMIWA ADEBAWORE, NORTHWESTERN

Adebawore is one of the single freakiest athletes in NFL Combine history. His 4.49-second 40-yard dash is the fastest ever for a player 280-plus pounds by .16 seconds. That kind of explosiveness is worth betting on.

44. Atlanta Falcons: QB HENDON HOOKER, TENNESSEE

Hooker is a gifted runner with an NFL-caliber right arm, and he made strides in each season as a starter. He just comes with some big red flags between his age (will be 25 as a rookie), a torn ACL in November and the gimmicky Tennessee offense.

45. Green Bay Packers: DI KEEANU BENTON, WISCONSIN

Benton possesses a nice blend of quicks, power, length and strength that allows him to fill any role along the defensive interior. He earned an 83.5 pass-rushing grade last season.

46: New England Patriots: WR CEDRIC TILLMAN, TENNESSEE

Tillman is the most physical receiver in the draft class. He's a safe bet as a possession receiver, as he dropped only five of his 104 career catchable targets.

47: Washington Commanders: CB CAM SMITH, SOUTH CAROLINA

Smith gets his hand on passes more frequently than any other cornerback in this class. Of his 70 targets over the past two seasons, Smith broke up 15 of them and picked off four others. He's an instinctive and versatile player.

48: Detroit Lions: RB JAHMYR GIBBS, ALABAMA

Gibbs is a home run waiting to happen — not only on the ground but also through the air. In three years between Georgia Tech and Alabama, Gibbs caught 103 passes for 1,215 yards and eight scores.

49: Pittsburgh Steelers: EDGE KEION WHITE, GEORGIA TECH

White is an absurd physical specimen at 6-foot-5 and 286 pounds. It seems like it's only a matter of time before the light switch flips on and he's a dominant edge. White came back from missing most of 2021 with an ankle injury to rack up 41 pressures this past fall.

50. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: LB JACK CAMPBELL, IOWA

Campbell is as reliable as it gets at the linebacker position in this class. And at 6-foot-5 and 246 pounds with NFL-caliber range, there's no debating whether his game will translate to the next level. Campbell finished 2022 with a 91.7 overall grade to lead all Power Five linebackers.

51. Miami Dolphins: G STEVE AVILA, TCU

Avila has started at both center and guard over the course of his career. And he provides a physical presence regardless of where he's at. He allowed only 11 pressures on 540 pass-blocking snaps in 2022 for an 83.6 pass-blocking grade.

52. Seattle Seahawks: WR JALIN HYATT, TENNESSEE

Hyatt possesses elite juice to stretch the field. That helped him house 15 scores this past season. It was a massive breakout year, as he finished with 67 catches for 1,267 yards.

53. Chicago Bears: G CODY MAUCH, NORTH DAKOTA STATE

Mauch is one of the most athletic tackles in the class. He flies across the field in the run game, where he earned a 90.1 grade this past fall. His pass protection technique is still a work in progress, however, and a move inside could be in his future.

54. Los Angeles Chargers: CB D.J. TURNER, MICHIGAN

Turner has the best speed of anyone in this cornerback class. His movement skills are second to none, too. He still got picked on at Michigan a little more than you'd like, with 408 yards allowed this past fall.

55. Detroit Lions (via MIN): WR NATHANIEL DELL, HOUSTON

Dell's size — 5-foot-10, 165 pounds — won't be for everyone, but he's an easy separator with another gear to stride away from defenders. He had a monster 2022 campaign for Houston with 108 catches, 1,399 yards and 17 scores.

56. Jacksonville Jaguars: TE LUKE MUSGRAVE, ARKANSAS

It's a shame we saw only two games of Musgrave before an undisclosed knee injury cost him the rest of the 2022 season. The senior tight end was balling with 11 catches for 169 yards and a score over that span. He's the best athlete at the position in the class, boasting the kind of speed and agility to separate from defensive backs.

57. New York Giants: CB DARIUS RUSH, SOUTH CAROLINA

Rush has the combination of length and speed that everyone is looking for at the cornerback position. He also has the ball production– 18 combined picks and pass breakups on 72 career targets.

58. Dallas Cowboys: LB DREW SANDERS, ARKANSAS

Sanders started his college career as an edge rusher at Alabama before transferring to Arkansas and moving to off-ball linebacker this past fall. He flourished in that role, as his range and ability to take on blocks shined. He collected 11 sacks and 39 total pressures as a blitzer alone in 2022.

59. Buffalo Bills: LB TRENTON SIMPSON, CLEMSON

Simpson is the kind of rangy, fluid athlete everyone is looking for at linebacker. He even played the slot role in Clemson's defense back in 2021. He allowed only 406 yards in his career on 612 coverage snaps.

60. Cincinnati Bengals: CB KELEE RINGO, GEORGIA

Ringo is a mammoth cornerback at 6-foot-2 and 210 pounds. He's built to play in a press-heavy defense on the outside. He's just a touch inconsistent on his breaks and allowed 552 yards this past fall.

61. Chicago Bears (via SF): EDGE TULI TUIPULOTU, USC

Tuipulotu is an ascending, versatile defensive lineman. He barely came off the field for the Trojans this past fall (733 snaps) as he racked up 56 pressures. At 6-foot-4 and 290 pounds, he can play on the edge, over tackles or at three-technique in the NFL.

62. Philadelphia Eagles: WR MARVIN MIMS, OKLAHOMA

Mims is on the smaller side for the position but is the type of athlete who can make up for it. He went for more than 1,000 yards last season and averaged 19.5 yards per catch for his career.

63. Kansas City Chiefs: EDGE DERICK HALL, AUBURN

Hall is built like a Greek god, and he has reps that make him look like one, too. We just haven't seen him develop a full array of pass-rushing moves just yet, as his pass-rushing grade plateaued after his sophomore year in 2020 (81.9, 82.1, 82.6).

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