Betting News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

NFL Betting 2022: Week 4 spread picks to bet before lines move

Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs with ball during the second half of a game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Take advantage of Seattle Seahawks (+6): The Detroit Lions are favorites in Week 4, but it is far too much against a capable Seattle squad.

Consider Dolphins (+8.5), Buccaneers (+8.5) in a teaser: Tua Tagovailoa continues to play well, and Tampa Bay is set to get Mike Evans, among others, back in the lineup.

• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.


Editor's Note: Betting lines are accurate as of post-Sunday Night Football.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP AND TRY PFF+ FOR FREE

TEASER: Miami Dolphins (+8.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals & Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+8.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs

• This is a standard Wong teaser where we are able to cross both key numbers of 3 and 7 (the two most common point differentials).

• The Dolphins and first-year head coach Mike McDaniel play their first Thursday Night Football game, which could be a tricky spot for the newcomer. However, Tua Tagovailoa has a top-five PFF passing grade, while Joe Burrow leads the NFL in turnover-worthy plays (PFF’s lowest-graded plays that end up as a turnover more than 50% of the time).

• The Bucs will get healthier and also get Mike Evans back from suspension. After a loss that will be blamed on Brady’s clock management, it would be surprising to see a blowout from a Chiefs offense that has not been as explosive over the past two games, ranking just 13th in expected points added per play (EPA/play measures how much a team improves its chances of scoring points on a given play).

• A reason to be wary here is that both the Bengals and Chiefs have great quarterbacks who are capable of returning to their highest-graded signal-caller form.


New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.


DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32

Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades

Already have a subscription? Log In

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit